Lotto Chances

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by alpert3925, Jan 12, 2014.

  1. alpert3925

    alpert3925 Builder
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    Maco your digging yourself a deeper hole :p Just give up now...
     
  2. Maco20047

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    NEVER lol
     
  3. Emau

    Emau Anti-PVP Miner
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    I'll throw you a bone. The person with the highest percentage of tickets, has the "best" chance to win. If you split your total number of tickets up between you and someone else, you lower YOUR chances of winning.
     
    #43 Emau, Jan 13, 2014
    Last edited: Jan 13, 2014
  4. Jrg5978

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    You guys are overthinking it....
     
  5. kukelekuuk

    kukelekuuk C͕̹̲̽ͪ͐ͩ̔L̜̦̝͈ͦ̿̾̿ḘA̻̗̤̳̐ͭ̆̿̃̑ͭN̊̓͑̇ͯ
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    Well, maco is ignoring facts, so we have to.
     
  6. Maco20047

    Maco20047 |-《□》-The Medievalist-《□》-|
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    I just lost my Lucky Lotto to vdubmastertech. 2tix and he beat my 175 tix. G_G I give up. lol
     
    #46 Maco20047, Jan 13, 2014
    Last edited: Jan 13, 2014
  7. David_Torento

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    The lottery randomly draws 1 ticket (whether it be one of someones 1000 tickets, or 1 ticket) When it displays, it just shows how many tickets you had. Each ticket gives you a 1/# of tickets in lotto.

    The more tickets you have, the more of the chance you will win. (If you are in a team, the more tickets the team has, the more tickets you will win) The only thing is that they are by different people.
     
  8. LordCwispy

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    The answer is b, unless there is a twisted bug in the random number generator. There is no mathematical change in your chance of winning whether you buy 1000 tickets 1 at a time, 10 at a time, 100 at a time, all at once, 800 now and 200 later, or any other combination thereof. In fact, over time, you are guaranteed to lose money. You might at one point come out ahead in lotto; if that happens, do what I did and stop.

    I still think that it would be a good idea to put half of the servers take from a lotto into the pot for the next lotto. Human nature will automatically cause the pots to grow larger and larger and in the long run lotto would become a bigger money sink. I mean, if there was automatically 10,000 in the pot and noone has bought a ticket, wouldn't you buy 1 ticket? Even I might buy a ticket because there is a chance that maybe noone else will buy a ticket. But, in reality, people tend to buy more tickets when the pot gets bigger. So, it is only natural that more people will buy more tickets.
     
  9. alpert3925

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    Ok, we all have come to an agreement of b. We also have come to the agreement that maco is a nub. I win :D
     
  10. D0rc

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    Putting this as simply as I can...
    ...let's assume that, for the sake of simplicity, the lottery has 10 tickets in it.
    Let's line them up side by side.

    Ticket 1
    Ticket 2
    Ticket 3
    ...etc.

    Now let's assume that each of these 10 tickets has a name assigned to it. Let's say I teamed with a guy named SuperTiger or something.

    D0rc: Ticket 1
    D0rc: Ticket 2
    D0rc: Ticket 3
    SuperTiger: Ticket 4
    SuperTiger: Ticket 5
    ...and the other 5 are owned by another person not on our team.

    This is essentially how the lottery works. It takes each ticket individually and "lines them up," then picks a random one from the list. If I have a 30% chance and SuperTiger has a 20% chance of winning, it's a total of a 50% chance, because our 5 tickets against the other persons 5 tickets is a 50|50 chance. Me buying the tickets instead of him won't influence it any different - the two tickets he bought would instead just be under my name, and the name has absolutely nothing to do with how it picks the winner. Theoretically, yes, I'll have a 50% chance of winning instead of 30%, but Super Tiger will have a 0% chance as a tradeoff. It makes no difference in the end.
     
  11. Jrg5978

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    Don't worry he stopped my lucky lotto with 624 tickets once :p
     
  12. Maco20047

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    LOL I'm determined to get it.